Lake Superior

Northern

Past peakPeak Oct 1–Oct 9 · ±6.3 days

Source: Ontario Parks Fall Colour Report, Oct 17 · 100% colour change at Lake Superior - South

The northern outlier. First to turn, first to drop.

Last chance

Gusts near 52 km/h on Oct 23 will strip a lot of this canopy.

The season curve

Sep 1–Nov 2 2026

Colour change, percent

Observed Predicted Confidence band Camera index

Solid line: colour change reported by Ontario Parks, weekly, latest Oct 17. Dashed line: the ontariofall.com model, run Oct 19, with the confidence band widening as the forecast reaches further out. Green dotted: our camera colour index, inverted so less green reads as more colour and stretched across its own observed range, so read its shape rather than its height against the percentage axis. Weather by Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0. Free to republish with credit and a link.

The next 3 weekends here

Out of 10, colour and weather combined. The notch on each bar marks 8.0, the point where colour is at peak and the weather is behaving.

Oct 24 – Oct 25
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Oct 24, wet.
0.9
Oct 31 – Nov 1
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Oct 31, wet.
0.1
Nov 7 – Nov 8
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Nov 7, no weather forecast yet.
2.0

What is moving this forecast

Cold nights: 39 so far against a normal pace of 12 (-10 days).
September temperature anomaly: -0.2°C (0 days).
Summer rainfall: 355 mm against a normal 321 mm (+0.4 days).
Hard frosts: 2 (-5 days).
Observations assimilated: 7 (+30.3 days).
Net shift from the historical baseline: +10.8 days.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com, CC BY 4.0 · every coefficient is published in the methodology

See for yourself

Live view from Highway 17 near Red Rock Lake (Looking South) — Nearest camera: Highway 17 near Red Rock Lake (Looking South), 4.4 km away, not at the location. Camera: Ontario 511, Ontario Ministry of Transportation · Ontario 511 open data. Attribution required.

Reports from the ground

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Sources for this page

Colour status · Source: Ontario Parks Fall Colour Report · Oct 17
Weather · Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0 · daily to Oct 19
Camera · Camera: Ontario 511, Ontario Ministry of Transportation · 4.4 km from the location
Historical peak record · Offset from the Algonquin anchor. Far north, turns first.
Ground reports · reader submissions, moderated · 0 shown

Last updated Mon, October 19, 2026.

Be there for it

Go with a group of people your age

Hiking and paddling weekends run by Wilderness Union, a Toronto outdoor community for ages 18 to 45. Transport, gear and guides included.

See the adventures

Or see every fall trip in date order, with the colour forecast for each destination.