Killbear

Georgian Bay

Approaching peakPeak Oct 10–Oct 18 · ±1.5 days

Source: Ontario Parks Fall Colour Report, Oct 16 · 80% colour change at Killbear

Windswept pine on the Georgian Bay shore, an easy run up Highway 400.

Last chance

Gusts near 53 km/h on Oct 24 will strip a lot of this canopy.

The season curve

Sep 1–Nov 2 2026

Colour change, percent

Observed Predicted Confidence band

Solid line: colour change reported by Ontario Parks, weekly, latest Oct 16. Dashed line: the ontariofall.com model, run Oct 19, with the confidence band widening as the forecast reaches further out. Green dotted: our camera colour index, inverted so less green reads as more colour and stretched across its own observed range, so read its shape rather than its height against the percentage axis. Weather by Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0. Free to republish with credit and a link.

The next 3 weekends here

Out of 10, colour and weather combined. The notch on each bar marks 8.0, the point where colour is at peak and the weather is behaving.

Oct 24 – Oct 25
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Oct 24, cloudy.
2.3
Oct 31 – Nov 1
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Oct 31, wet.
0.9
Nov 7 – Nov 8
Not worth the drive. Past peak on Nov 7, no weather forecast yet.
2.2

What is moving this forecast

Cold nights: 13 so far against a normal pace of 2 (-4.9 days).
September temperature anomaly: +0.3°C (0 days).
Summer rainfall: 338 mm against a normal 295 mm (+0.6 days).
Hard frosts: 0 (0 days).
Observations assimilated: 6 (+18.3 days).
Net shift from the historical baseline: +11.4 days.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com, CC BY 4.0 · every coefficient is published in the methodology

See for yourself

No camera covers this location yet.
The ground reports below carry it instead.
Run a camera near here? We would like to hear from you

Reports from the ground

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First report from the ground goes here.
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Wilderness Union runs trips here

Group Camping at Killbear · October 9 to 10
Weekend community adventure with Wilderness Union, ages 18 to 45.

Sources for this page

Colour status · Source: Ontario Parks Fall Colour Report · Oct 16
Weather · Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0 · daily to Oct 19
Historical peak record · Offset from the Algonquin anchor. Georgian Bay shore moderates it slightly.
Ground reports · reader submissions, moderated · 0 shown

Last updated Mon, October 19, 2026.

Be there for it

Go with a group of people your age

Hiking and paddling weekends run by Wilderness Union, a Toronto outdoor community for ages 18 to 45. Transport, gear and guides included.

See the adventures

Or see every fall trip in date order, with the colour forecast for each destination.