Awenda

Georgian Bay

No changePeak Sep 29–Oct 7 · ±7.8 days

Source: Ontario Parks Fall Colour Report, Aug 24 · 0% colour change at Awenda

Old hardwood above Georgian Bay, closest real forest to Toronto.

The season curve

Sep 1–Nov 2 2026

Colour change, percent

Observed Predicted Confidence band

0255075100Peak windowToday, Sep 1Predicted →Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Nov 2ontariofall.com
Solid line: colour change reported by Ontario Parks, weekly, latest Aug 24. Dashed line: the ontariofall.com model, run Sep 1, with the confidence band widening as the forecast reaches further out. Green dotted: our camera colour index, inverted so less green reads as more colour and stretched across its own observed range, so read its shape rather than its height against the percentage axis. Weather by Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0. Free to republish with credit and a link.

The next 3 weekends here

Out of 10, colour and weather combined. The notch on each bar marks 8.0, the point where colour is at peak and the weather is behaving.

  1. Sep 5Sep 6

    Not worth the drive. Still green on Sep 5, sun.

    2.7

  2. Sep 12Sep 13

    Not worth the drive. Still green on Sep 12, sun.

    1.3

  3. Sep 19Sep 20

    Fine, not special. Patchy on Sep 19, no weather forecast yet.

    4.8

What is moving this forecast
  • Cold nights: 0 so far against a normal pace of 0.4 (+0.2 days).
  • September temperature anomaly: 0°C (0 days).
  • Summer rainfall: 266 mm against a normal 274 mm (-0.3 days).
  • Hard frosts: 0 (0 days).
  • Observations assimilated: 0 (-5.6 days).
  • Net shift from the historical baseline: -5.7 days.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com, CC BY 4.0 · every coefficient is published in the methodology

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Sources for this page

Last updated Tue, September 1, 2026.

More on when to come

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